Five Key Cognitions in Trading: Calibrate Your Trading Navigation
Five Key Cognitions in Trading: Calibrate Your Trading Navigation
In trading, let's set aside complex theories and pursuit of techniques, and first calibrate our trading navigation.
If your navigation is wrong from the start
You'll never reach your destination
A Few Words First
When cognition is mentioned, many think it's mystical and useless, preferring direct trading techniques like pattern recognition, entry points, and risk-reward ratios.
I've found that in any industry, impatience for quick success is everyone's problem - everyone wants fast money, but nobody makes it.
Why Can't We Make Money?
Because making money is multifaceted - not simply knowing one point makes it easy.
- •Trading has many variables - when trends change, a pattern might work with the trend but fail against it
- •We ourselves are variables with complex psychological states
- •Sometimes shortsighted, sometimes following crowds, sometimes making wrong decisions due to cognitive biases
Human cognition is inherently flawed because we're fundamentally irrational and emotional, so our nature is fragile, we will make mistakes, and many errors are uncontrollable.
So when you make mistakes in trading, don't feel devastated
Because everyone might be making the same mistakes - it's about who realizes and stops them sooner.
Also, our cognition isn't necessarily correct. We must have the courage and action to adjust our thinking. The adjustment process is painful and difficult because we're fighting our nature.
But precisely because this is difficult and most can't do it, it highlights the few's advantage, enabling the minority to earn the majority's money.
Cognition One: You Can't Have Your Cake and Eat It Too
You must keep one end and let go of the other.
A Trader's Dilemma
She asked: Using 5-minute entries, I can never hold for larger timeframe profits. Can I enter on 1-hour and exit on 1-hour?
I said: Theoretically yes, you can backtest it with data.
She asked again: Won't 1-hour entries and exits give back too much profit?
I said: Probably yes, but our trading techniques aren't omnipotent - we must make tradeoffs. If we choose this method to hold 1-hour profits, don't worry about profit giveback.
This phenomenon is very common in trading. Everyone understands "you can't have your cake and eat it too," but when making choices themselves, they hesitate and worry about missing both opportunities.
Thinking this way, your trading will remain in perpetual "wanting everything" pain.
Trading Techniques Have a Mutual Loss Principle
Small timeframes can't hold large profits
Large timeframes give back profits
Large vs small stop losses, breakout vs pullback entries
Almost all technical standards have corresponding pros and cons
Choosing one means accepting its opposite
This is why I put this cognition first. Most of life's suffering comes from "wanting everything." Trading's first lesson is learning to let go, or face endless losses and pain.
Cognition Two: Trends Will Repeat
Have confidence and patience in your technical methods.
The longer you trade, the more you'll discover that historical trends always repeat - this is a fundamental law of financial markets.
Why Do Trends Repeat?
Though times progress and the world changes dramatically, human nature is eternal, and price movement always reflects human nature and emotions - this is where we capture patterns.
No two leaves are identical, but we can find highly similar ones - same with markets.
So our goal shouldn't be finding identical leaves, but similar ones - that's enough for abundant profits.
Our Technical Methods
Are for capturing similar patterns in repeating price movements, combined with win-rate and risk-reward advantages, to generate final profits.
Everyone's problem isn't usually establishing technical standards, but "how to wait." Everyone fears not getting opportunities, fears the unknown future, but patience is often what separates profitable traders from losing ones.
The Meaning of Backtesting
- •Test your technical strategies
- •Understand historical market patterns
- •When you understand decades of repeating trends, you'll have fewer doubts about future movements
Cognition Three: Have a Cost Mindset
I especially like this saying: Everything we gain in life is obtained by losing something else.
Equivalent Exchange in Life
- •Even thieves risk getting caught and beaten
- •To own something, we pay money - that's the cost
- •To gain love, we invest time and money - that's exchange
- •Our personal growth is built from countless pains and failures
We understand these principles, but they completely change in trading. We always want something for nothing, always want huge gains with minimal risk, always hope for maximum profits without any cost - this can't help but distort trading.
Cost Mindset in Trading
For every trade we make
First consider what loss we can afford
Then consider potential profits
Not just monetary costs - to gain superior trading cognition and techniques, we must pay corresponding costs like learning time and energy, extensive backtesting, thinking time, etc.
In most cases, the greater achievement we seek, the more economic, time, and emotional costs we must pay.
Once you truly learn to pay costs, you'll find many things aren't as complex or difficult as imagined, and your growth potential will rise to another level.
Cognition Four: Group Polarization and Conformity
I've found humans are creatures who lifelong seek belonging and recognition - receiving others' approval makes us more pleased and secure.
My Early Trading Days
I loved joining various groups, hearing others' opinions, showing off profits, envying others' achievements.
Sometimes getting group recognition and praise made me happier than profitable trades, satisfying my vanity and need for approval.
However, groups are often irrational - especially when many people agree on a view, it's assumed correct, which is dangerous in trading.
The Danger of Group Polarization
Say you originally expected gold to go long
But everyone in the group discusses going short
Many express very confident opinions with evidence
You might start doubting your own judgment
Then in actual trading, gold shifts from short to long, matching your original expectation, but you still believe in shorts because the majority's view gave you that confidence, so you might not even set stop losses, ending in massive losses.
Real Case
I once knew an experienced trader in a group. When I took a position, he took the opposite and immediately urged me to switch, with many group members also persuading me.
Later, unable to resist peer pressure, I reversed my order, but the market moved against me for big losses. I couldn't blame others because the decision was mine, nor could I alone oppose the group - I had to swallow the bitter pill.
Often when we're in groups, we tend to trust majority opinions more, even changing our views to appear "fitting in."
Why I say to trade well, it's best not to join groups
Too much noise - people eliminate fear of unknown markets by mentally taking shortcuts, believing others' judgments, completely losing independent thinking space. Even losses become silent swallows.
Cognition Five: Maintain Independent Thinking
Trading is a solitary practice requiring independent thinking ability.
Traps to Avoid
- •Over-relying on group opinions
- •Abandoning own judgment
- •Changing views to fit in
- •Mental laziness
What to Cultivate
- •Independent market analysis
- •Trust your judgment
- •Take responsibility for decisions
- •Critical thinking
Final Thoughts
These five cognitions seem simple, but truly understanding and practicing them requires long periods and countless trials.
Calibrate Your Trading Navigation
- 1Learn to let go, accept trading's mutual loss principle
- 2Believe trends repeat, maintain patience and confidence
- 3Build cost mindset, consider risk before reward
- 4Beware group polarization, avoid conformity
- 5Maintain independent thinking, own your decisions
Remember
Cognition is trading's foundation
Technique is the house built on it
Without solid foundation, even beautiful houses will collapse
May every trader calibrate their trading navigation and find their own path to profitability.
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