A Quant Trader's Shocking Secret: Why All Trend Indicators Have Less Than 50% Accuracy?
A Quant Trader's Shocking Secret: Why All Trend Indicators Have Less Than 50% Accuracy?
Every seasoned trader has chased the mythical "Holy Grail" — a perfect technical indicator that predicts the future. But when a veteran quant trader accidentally revealed the truth, the entire room fell silent:
All trend-following indicators have accuracy below 50%
Blindly trading any trend indicator mechanically is a guaranteed long-term losing game.
Truth #1: Indicators Are Inherently Lagging
MACD, KDJ, Bollinger Bands, moving averages — all are mathematical reactions to past price. By the time a signal appears, the move has often already happened or is about to reverse.
Truth #2: Markets Are Probability, Not Prediction
“This is my main decision-making tool.” — He pulled out a dice.
One thousand analysts, one thousand wave counts
The same chart produces countless Elliott Wave interpretations. There is no single objective truth — only probability distributions.
Truth #3: Execution Is the Real Hell
Humans hate probability
Three losses in a row and we doubt the system. Small profit and we take it off early.
You only understand probability by living it
He deals cards to himself in spare time just to internalize probability.
Execution separates winners from losers
“After rolling the dice — do you actually execute?” Most people fail here.
Real edge comes from execution, not better indicators
At FX Killer, we hammer this into every minute of our 30-day military-style training: feel probability, accept probability, execute probability — until discipline becomes instinct.
Latest News
EUR/USD flat lines around 1.1900; looks to US NFP report for fresh directional impetus
The EUR/USD pair is seen oscillating in a narrow trading band around the 1.1900 mark during the Asian session on Wednesd. Free forex trading training by FX Killer.
Australian Dollar holds gains as China’s CPI rises in January
AUD/USD recovers its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 0.7090 during the Asian hours on W. Free forex trading training by FX Killer.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD bulls seem hesitant below $82.00; US NFP awaited
Silver (XAG/USD) steadies following the previous day's modest pullback from the $84.00 mark and trades with a mild posit. Free forex trading training by FX Killer.
NZD/USD hamstrung near 0.6050 with US NFP in the barrel
The New Zealand Dollar is trading in a well-defined uptrend on the daily chart, with price holding above both the 50 Exp. Free forex trading training by FX Killer.
Related Articles
Break Free from the Crazy Trading Loop: The Four Fatal Mistakes of 90% Who Blow Up
Break Free from the Crazy Trading Loop: The Four Fatal Mistakes of 90% Who Blow Up The market is nev...
Constantly Itchy Hands in Trading? Use the '80/20 Iron Rule' to End Overtrading and Save Your Account
Constantly Itchy Hands in Trading? Use the '80/20 Iron Rule' to End Overtrading and Save Your Accoun...
Trading Is Like Boxing: Getting Hit Isn't Fatal, Panicking and Counterpunching Is
Trading Is Like Boxing: Getting Hit Isn't Fatal, Panicking and Counterpunching Is In the forex arena...